Thursday, March 16, 2006

More From Phillip Longman

Last week, I discussed an essay in Foreign Policy magazine by Phillip Longman predicting the rebirth of patriarchy. Well, Longman is back. This time in the ever so august and prestigious editorial pages of USA Today. Here's a taste:

What's the difference between Seattle and Salt Lake City? There are many differences, of course, but here's one you might not know. In Seattle, there are nearly 45% more dogs than children. In Salt Lake City, there are nearly 19% more kids than dogs.

This curious fact might at first seem trivial, but it reflects a much broader and little-noticed demographic trend that has deep implications for the future of global culture and politics. It's not that people in a progressive city such as Seattle are so much fonder of dogs than are people in a conservative city such as Salt Lake City. It's that progressives are so much less likely to have children.


Conservatives rightly fear that because we live in an open cultural sewer, there will likely be many kids who reject the values of more conservative parents. But, Longman says, "unlike members of the postwar baby boom generation," today's kids "will be for the most part descendants of a comparatively narrow and culturally conservative segment of society. To be sure, some members of the rising generation may reject their parents' values, as often happens. But when they look for fellow secularists with whom to make common cause, they will find that most of their would-be fellow travelers were quite literally never born."

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