Wednesday, December 22, 2004

He Gets No Respect

Steve Sailer is a remarkable and vastly under-appreciated journalist. Recently, Sailer has published three remarkable statistical analyses explaining the Red-Blue political cleavage.

In a fascinating essay in "The American Conservative," Sailer demonstrates that there is a dramatic positive correlation between states with high fertility rates among whites and the tendency to vote for "conservative" candidates (whether Republicans can be actually called conservatives is another question I have discussed elsewhere). Sailer says that "voters are picking their parties based on differing approaches to the most fundamentally important human activity: having babies. The white people in Republican-voting regions consistently have more children than the white people in Democratic-voting regions. The more kids whites have, the more pro-Bush they get."

Sailer followed up this blockbuster with two articles in VDARE. The first demonstated that along with high fertility, states with high marriage rates went decisively for Bush over Kerry:

"There is another demographic factor that correlates at the state level even more tightly than white fertility with Bush's share: being married.

And, when years married is teamed with fertility in a two-factor multiple regression model, the correlation becomes stratospheric."


Sailer goes on to show that access to cheap housing also reinforces the tendency to marry...and vote Republican.

Sailer's analyis is sound and empirically convincing, and is required reading for anyone wanting to understand contemporary politics. While Sailer's empiricism ought to endear him to his journalistic comrades, his penchant for writing about taboo subjects, race in particular, means that he is blackballed by major media outlets.

1 Comments:

Blogger Chad said...

"While Sailer's empiricism ought to endear him to his journalistic comrades, his penchant for writing about taboo subjects, race in particular, means that he is blackballed by major media outlets."

... as well as most Christian media. Ever see Sailer acknowledged by Every Thought Captive, Credenda Agenda, Chalcedon, American Vision, or even that stalwart of independent Christian news - the Baptist Press?

I'm pretty sure Doug Phillips will never quote him either, but he seems to think quite highly (as do I) of men like Rushdoony and Otto Scott, who talked a lot about taboo subjects like race. Otto Scott said that the enemies of Christ were attacking us by subverting our language and removing terms like "the white race" from the modern vocabulary. If that's true, what does that say about most of our modern Christian denominations?

Those findings by Sailer bring forth both hope and despair. On one hand, I'm glad that God is being gracious to us and blessing us with hearts that desire to train up godly seed for his glory. Yet it is discouraging that these precious gifts seem to be becoming mere fodder for neo-conservative wickedness. Can you imagine the Hebrews sending all their children to serve in Pharoah's armies? That's the equivalent of what these Christian conservative families are doing, helping create the "Grand Army of the Republic"-ans.

Yet I retain hope, for all of God's plan shall come to pass according to his will. I'd be interested in the statistics of Christian families that either voted for Peroutka or didn't vote at all. I am happy to take my stand with these fine folks, and pray that our children would become the great host that strikes fear into the heart of the world's Pharoahs.

9:16 AM  

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